The Indiana Pacers (7-31) are underdogs (by 6.5 points) to break a seven-game home losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (20-17) on Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET.
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Heat vs. Pacers Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final result of Heat 121, Pacers 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-258)
- Total Pick: Under 235.5 (computer predicts 233.9 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (-6.5)
Recent Heat vs. Pacers Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/27/2025 | Heat | -6.5 | 233.5 | -270 | +219 | 142-116 MIA |
| 2/28/2025 | Pacers | -3 | 223.5 | -152 | +127 | 125-120 MIA |
| 1/2/2025 | Heat | -2 | 225.5 | -134 | +113 | 128-115 IND |
| 11/17/2024 | Pacers | -3.5 | 228 | -164 | +138 | 119-110 IND |
| 11/15/2024 | Pacers | -4.5 | 228.5 | -191 | +160 | 124-111 MIA |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami is 21-15-1 against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 6.5 points or more, the Heat have a 6-3 record against the spread.
- Miami has hit the over in 17 of its 38 games with a set total (44.7%).
- The Heat have been favorites in 16 games this season and won 10 (62.5%) of those contests.
- Miami has a record of 7-1 when it's favored by -258 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Pacers 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Indiana has a 19-19-0 record against the spread this year.
- When they have played as at least 6.5-point underdogs this year, the Pacers are 10-8 against the spread.
- A total of 15 of Indiana's 38 games with a set total have hit the over (39.5%).
- The Pacers have won five of the 33 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (15.2%).
- Indiana has gone 1-13 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +209 or longer (7.1%).
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Heat vs. Pacers Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Questionable (Illness)
Pacers
Pacers:
Obi Toppin: Out (Foot),
Andrew Nembhard: Questionable (Back),
Isaiah Jackson: Out (Concussion),
Tyrese Haliburton: Out For Season (Achilles),
Bennedict Mathurin: Out (Thumb)
Heat vs. Pacers Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Game time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSIN
- Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
- Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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